S&P 500 forward earnings yield versus the 10-year Treasury yield

Forward P/E as of Apr. 30, 2026; 10-year Treasury yield on May 28, 2026.

What the Data Shows

S&P 500 valuation is compared with the United States 10-year Treasury yield using S&P factsheet and FRED Treasury-rate data. The data includes forward P/E, trailing P/E, their implied earnings yields and the 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield. The forward P/E of 21.03 implies a 4.76% earnings yield, 0.31 percentage points above the 4.45% Treasury yield. The trailing P/E of 28.45 implies a 3.51% earnings yield, which is 0.94 percentage points below the Treasury yield, and the two P/E measures have different S&P underlying dates.

Data table

Unit: P/E multiple, percent yield and percentage-point gap · Period: S&P factsheet as of May 29, 2026; forward P/E as of Apr. 30, 2026; 10-year yield as of May 28, 2026

RankEntryValuePeriod
1S&P 500 forward P/E21.03xForward P/E as of Apr 30, 2026 in S&P May 29 factsheet
2Forward earnings yield4.76%from forward P/E
310-year Treasury yield4.45%2026-05-28
4Trailing earnings yield3.51%from trailing P/E as of Dec 31, 2025

Sources

Source 1: S&P Dow Jones Indices

Publisher: S&P Dow Jones Indices

Dataset/table: Fundamentals

Units: P/E multiples and dividend yield

Date checked: 2026-05-30

Evidence: Supports the S&P 500 projected and trailing P/E values.

Source 2: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Publisher: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Dataset/table: DGS10 daily observation

Units: percent per annum

Date checked: 2026-05-30

Evidence: Supports the May 28, 2026 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield.

Data notes & caveats

S&P reports projected P/E and trailing P/E with different underlying dates. The FRED Treasury yield observation is May 28, 2026, which is one day earlier than the S&P factsheet snapshot.

Methodology

Projected and trailing earnings yields use 100 divided by the corresponding P/E multiple; yield gaps subtract the 10-year Treasury yield from each earnings yield.

Source consistency notes

The S&P valuation fields and FRED Treasury yield are mixed-date latest-available observations and should be read as a timestamped comparison.

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